We live in an age where everyone has multiple opinions on single topics. Will Verizon get the iPhone in 2011? Yes. Will Apple’s US market share double? No. Unless you’re writing for Beatweek Magazine which contradicts most stock analysts and predicts iPhone’s share will double.
The theory analysts are clinging to says that nearly everyone who’s ever going to buy an iPhone has done so by now.
I don’t recall reading any such analysis, but, well, whatever. I’ve read estimates which range from 800,000 the first year to 10-million in 2011.
With the iPhone going to Verizon in early 2011 but apparently not going to Sprint or T-Mobile, the real question is not whether the Verizon iPhone will hurt AT&T, which has the iPhone, but whether the Verizon iPhone will lure customers away from the other two carriers.
An interesting point if AT&T is so hated. It stands to reason that a Verizon iPhone will increase iPhone market share, but also cannibalize AT&T iPhone customers. When Verizon gets the iPhone I’ll be in line.